Although the major authorities forecast next year the global economy will present growth state, but China's export environment is not optimistic.

Experts think, because the countries next year to resume sexual growth scale and space is limited, so next year China's export products still will suffer from the USA, EU and other developed countries and in India, Argentina and other developing countries two party trade remedy investigations, frequently may even exceed this year.

According to the Ministry of Commerce statistics, as of 11 at the beginning of this year, a total of 19 global countries and regions for Chinese export products launched 101 trade remedy investigations, totaling more than $11600000000, which the United States and the European Union survey launched the greatest influence.

Forecast according to IMF, 2010 the United States of America 's economic growth rate of 1.5%, 0.3% for the European union. But according to the foreign economic and Trade University Chinese WTO Research Institute released over the weekend of 2010" world economic and trade development and policy perspectives", next year the economic downside risk is small, but the unemployment rate will remain at 8.5%-10%, at the same time the United States unemployment rate in November was slightly, but still high up to 10%. " The high unemployment rate is the economic sustainability of recovery increase of uncertainty." Chinese WTO Research Institute president Zhang Hanlin says, our country to the United States and Europe and other developed economies, the main export is the steel and chemical products, are the other has been the decline of industry, which is easy to be caught napping, thought to be the result of Chinese products to enter that led to their reduced production," tire special protection case " will be to prove this point.

In addition, Argentina, India and other developing countries this year is also one after another of our products launched trade remedy investigations. According to WTO, Argentina launched an anti-dumping investigation against Chinese products in 1/4.

Zhang Hanlin said, textile, clothing, machinery and electrical products export of China and other developing countries the main, is to the development of the industry, easily with local product conflict. China trade project chief expert Li Zhong Zhou said," once the Europe and the United States will our products out, enterprises will focus on the market to developing countries". With these national economy better, restoration of production, our products may face more investigation.

According to statistics, the first three quarters of this year, China's total import and export volume drops 20.9% compared to the same period in November, the total import and export years positive growth for the first time. Where the export recovery rally since September, exports in November fell has been narrowed down to 1.2%. According to the Chinese WTO Research Institute forecast, this year China's export growth was negative in 20%, 2010 is expected to achieve 13% export growth, import growth of 15%.